More than 20 million ballots have been cast in pre-election voting

More than 20 million ballots have been cast for this...

Posted: Oct 16, 2020 3:14 PM

More than 20 million ballots have been cast for this fall's election in 45 states and the District of Columbia, according to a survey of ballot data by CNN, Edison Research, and Catalist.

The votes cast so far represent about 15% of the more than 136 million total ballots cast for president in 2016, though experts predict higher turnout this year. As of Friday, ballots are available in all 50 states and DC.

Early voting opened in some states this week and voters were faced with hours-long lines in some precincts and many states have expanded mail-in voting options due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Democrats continue to lead Republicans in ballots cast in each of CNN's key states for which there is party data available, according to Catalist, a data company that provides data, analytics and other services to Democrats, academics and non-profit issue advocacy organizations. Catalist has analyzed more than 16 million of the ballots cast so far in 36 states.

In Pennsylvania, Democrats account for more than three-quarters of the ballots cast so far. They hold a 20-point lead in Florida and a 32-point lead in North Carolina. None of these states have seen dramatic changes in party breakdown this week, but the Florida margin has narrowed very slightly (about two points) in the last week.

This data is not predictive of the ultimate outcome of any race, and polling shows that Democrats strongly prefer voting early or by mail, while Republicans prefer to vote on Election Day.

As the candidates head out on the trail in Florida and Michigan Friday, here's the breakdown of ballots already cast in those states.

Florida

After his town hall Thursday, President Donald Trump woke up in Florida, where he is scheduled to deliver remarks on seniors and then hold a rally this afternoon. Trump carried the Sunshine State by just over one percentage point in 2016.

Catalist data analyzed so far shows the number of ballots already cast in Florida has more than doubled compared to four years ago.

Florida Democrats have a major lead over Republicans in ballot returns so far and account for half of all pre-election day votes. This is a stark contrast to four years ago at this point, when Republicans led Democrats 43% to 40% in their share of ballots returned.

The racial composition of Florida's early voting electorate has shifted somewhat since 2016, with White voters making up a slightly smaller share of those who've already cast ballots and Black voters making up a slightly larger share. At this point four years ago, White voters comprised 77% early voters; they now represent 72%. Black voters, meanwhile, have expanded their share of the early vote from 8% in 2016 to 11% currently. Hispanic voters comprise about 12% of those who've already voted in Florida, on par with 2016 levels.

Florida's early voters are trending younger than they did at this point in 2016, although voters 65 or older still account for the majority of ballots already cast. However, the share of votes from these oldest voters has decreased from 65% in 2016 to 54% currently. All other age brackets have seen upticks in their share of the early vote.

The gender breakdown of early voters has also remained consistent with this time in 2016. Women have cast 55% of ballots so far (56% in 2016), and men have cast 45% of those ballots (44% in 2016).

Michigan

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden heads to Michigan for campaign events Friday. Trump was the first Republican to carry the Wolverine State in a presidential election since 1988, defeating Hillary Clinton by less than half a percentage point.

In the 2018 midterms, Michigan voters passed a ballot measure that allowed any registered voter in the state to cast a ballot by mail without an excuse. That was a big change from 2016, and the difference in early voting between the two elections is clear.

About 3.5 times more Michiganders have already voted this year compared to this point in 2016, according to Catalist data, with the biggest changes apparent when looking at early voters by age.

At this point four years ago, 83% of those who had cast ballots already were 65 or older. Now, those voters only account for 53% of early voters. Every other age group accounts for a greater share of the pre-election vote now than they did at this point in 2016, but the largest increase has come from voters 50-64 who were 11% of the votes cast four years ago and are now 25%.

The racial breakdown of voters who've cast early ballots in Michigan has changed slightly from this point in 2016. Eighty-five percent of Michigan voters so far are White, down from 88% four years ago. Black voters make up the second largest share at 11% (up slightly from 9% four years ago). Hispanic and Asian voters each make up 2% of those who have voted so far -- both up a single point from 2016.

Notably, this racial breakdown is still more White than Michigan's final electorate in 2016. According to exit polls, 75% of Michigan voters were White, 15% were Black and 5% were Latino.

Despite the major changes in Michigan's voting laws, the gender breakdown among those who have voted so far is similar to what it was four years ago. 56% of ballots cast so far have come from women -- at this point in 2016 it was 57%.

Huntsville
Overcast
70° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 70°
Florence
Scattered Clouds
69° wxIcon
Hi: 71° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 69°
Fayetteville
Broken Clouds
68° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 68°
Decatur
Overcast
71° wxIcon
Hi: 75° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 71°
Scottsboro
Overcast
70° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 70°
WAAY Radar
WAAY WAAY-TV Cam
WAAY Temperatures

Alabama Coronavirus Cases

Confirmed Cases: 159439

Reported Deaths: 2699
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Jefferson23443377
Mobile16934315
Tuscaloosa10414140
Montgomery10298197
Madison939496
Shelby743663
Baldwin669469
Lee655065
Calhoun462161
Marshall441150
Etowah431251
Morgan418235
Houston418034
DeKalb346129
Elmore322753
St. Clair299942
Limestone289330
Walker282392
Talladega267435
Cullman250824
Lauderdale231342
Jackson217515
Autauga207431
Franklin206131
Colbert204132
Russell19533
Blount194225
Chilton189332
Dallas187227
Coffee179511
Dale177251
Covington175529
Escambia173030
Clarke135317
Chambers135244
Pike134413
Tallapoosa133087
Marion109729
Barbour10339
Marengo102522
Butler101340
Winston93713
Geneva9167
Lawrence86132
Pickens86018
Bibb84314
Randolph82916
Hale77730
Clay74912
Washington74912
Cherokee74514
Henry7196
Lowndes71428
Bullock64917
Monroe64810
Crenshaw60930
Perry5936
Fayette58413
Cleburne5738
Wilcox57012
Conecuh56113
Macon53720
Lamar5065
Sumter47321
Choctaw39212
Greene34616
Coosa2053
Out of AL00
Unassigned00

Tennessee Coronavirus Cases

Confirmed Cases: 249866

Reported Deaths: 3163
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Shelby36685565
Davidson31975343
Knox1284891
Rutherford12017115
Hamilton11867109
Williamson718756
Sumner6184112
Wilson473159
Putnam445657
Montgomery424057
Out of TN415136
Sullivan381946
Madison381479
Bradley361923
Washington356951
Maury338938
Blount337436
Sevier336423
Robertson262842
Hamblen247548
Tipton238123
Unassigned22615
Dyer224732
Gibson217244
Coffee192325
Hardeman190533
Greene181252
Obion179522
Trousdale17768
Bedford174520
Dickson170719
Fayette169825
Anderson169713
McMinn165937
Lawrence164520
Loudon164311
Cumberland161327
Wayne16047
Carter158334
Weakley157326
Jefferson156421
Monroe147228
Warren144910
Lauderdale144117
Henderson142126
Hardin140420
Macon134825
Roane13217
Franklin130220
Haywood129728
Overton122917
Hawkins122625
White119414
Johnson11577
Marshall115710
Carroll115326
McNairy113427
Rhea112418
Cocke108014
Cheatham106911
Campbell103512
Bledsoe10264
Smith99413
Lake9873
Giles98336
Fentress91811
Lincoln9173
Crockett87020
Hickman81015
Henry80211
Marion7839
DeKalb73717
Chester73314
Decatur66311
Grainger6124
Grundy57511
Union5463
Claiborne5286
Polk51713
Humphreys4584
Jackson4535
Morgan4437
Unicoi4333
Houston42317
Benton4219
Cannon4212
Lewis4185
Clay40615
Scott3865
Sequatchie3472
Stewart33611
Meigs3296
Perry3082
Pickett2748
Moore2722
Van Buren2081
Hancock1213

Community Events