BREAKING NEWS Manslaughter charge after suspect starts pursuit in Florence, drives into Cypress Creek Full Story

Dow caps insane week with 330-point bounce

Wall Street capped a week of violent swings with a big gain.The Dow climbed 330 points on Friday in another ex...

Posted: Feb 10, 2018 10:14 AM
Updated: Feb 10, 2018 10:14 AM

Wall Street capped a week of violent swings with a big gain.

The Dow climbed 330 points on Friday in another extremely turbulent day of trading. At one point the index was down 500 points. At another it was up 500.

Fears about inflation and soaring bond yields drove the Dow down about 1,300 points on the week. The 5.2% sell-off was the worst weekly decline in two years.

All week, the market gyrated between large gains and even larger losses. There were two 1,000-point declines for the Dow, as well as the index's fourth-biggest gain ever.

"We've gone from very calm to very volatile in a short period of time," said Matt Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon's Lockwood Advisors.

Had the Dow lost any ground on Friday, it would have been the index's worst week since October 2008, during the financial crisis.

"The trigger has been the really fast rise in bond yields," said Evan Brown, director of asset allocation at UBS Asset Management.

Investors breathed a sigh of relief when the S&P 500 broke below and then sharply bounced above a crucial level of support known as the 200-day moving average. A close below that level, around 2,538, could have touched off even more selling.

Although the weekly losses came close to the scary days of the crisis, the market and economy are in vastly better shape than in 2008. Unemployment is the lowest in 17 years, and the banking system has mostly healed.

The recent turmoil follows a prolonged period of booming stock prices with virtually no sharp declines. Such a rapid rise is unusual, and market analysts long warned that a pullback was overdue.

"We were very overdue. It's been way too calm," Forester said.

Related: Stocks flew too close to the sun. Now what?

The S&P 500's market value surged $6 trillion between President Trump's election and the all-time high on January 26. The rout erased $2.5 trillion in value from the S&P 500 and $5.2 trillion from global stocks, according to S&P Dow Jones Indexes.

The jitters have been driven by the rapid rise in 10-year Treasury yields. Selling in the bond market led Wall Street to worry that inflation will force the Federal Reserve to speed up its rate hike plans.

The 10-year Treasury yield, which touched a four-year high of 2.88% on Thursday, is trading around 2.84% on Friday.

One new source of pressure on bonds is the budget deal that Trump signed on Friday. The bipartisan agreement boosts federal spending limits by $300 billion over the next two years. The federal budget deficit could top $1 trillion in fiscal 2019, according to Bank of America.

To pay for the spending spree, the Treasury Department will be forced to borrow even more money by selling additional bonds. Rates may have to go up to attract buyers for those bonds.

The budget deal could stimulate the economy even more over the next 10 years than last year's tax cut, Brown said. Because the economy is already strong, that boost from Washington could speed up inflation.

"You are at full employment, and the government is engaging in significant fiscal stimulus," Brown said. "There are concerns that this is not the ideal time to be increasing fiscal expansion. The market is pricing in potential for some overheating."

Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, doesn't think the sell-off will end until bond yields fall sharply.

"Too late to sell, too early to buy ... That feels like where we are," Colas wrote in a report. "Stocks won't bottom until long term Treasuries rally hard."

Related: This is why the Dow is plunging

Crude oil prices have also retreated during the market turmoil. Crude slumped 3% on Friday and slipped below $60 a barrel for the first time this year. Oil prices have now lost more than 10% of their value from the peak in late January.

The ferocity of the selling has caught investors off guard.

The boom carried the stock market so high that it was considered "extremely overbought" based on technical factors. But the plunge has left the S&P 500 "extremely oversold," according to Bespoke Investment Group. Such a dramatic swing in the span of just two weeks is very rare.

While the market turbulence can be alarming, analysts urged investors to stay calm because the economic backdrop is strong. The unemployment rate is 4.1%, a 17-year low, and economic growth is expected to gain steam in 2018.

"The last thing anybody should do is overreact to traditional volatility," said Rich Guerrini, CEO of PNC Investments.

Despite the heavy losses this week, the Dow remains up 36% since Trump's election.

"The outlook for the economy is extremely positive, the strongest in a long, long time," said Doug Cote, chief market strategist at Voya Investment Management.

"Based on fundamentals, this is a buying opportunity," he said.

Huntsville
Scattered Clouds
90° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 94°
Florence
Clear
93° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 70°
Feels Like: 97°
Fayetteville
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 91°
Decatur
Clear
91° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 95°
Scottsboro
Clear
90° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 95°
WAAY Radar
WAAY WAAY-TV Cam
WAAY Temperatures

Alabama Coronavirus Cases

Confirmed Cases: 19387

Reported Deaths: 676
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Mobile2341123
Jefferson1927105
Montgomery190544
Tuscaloosa85316
Marshall7149
Franklin5939
Lee56334
Shelby53619
Tallapoosa43566
Butler43121
Walker3973
Elmore38110
Chambers36326
Madison3594
Unassigned3144
Morgan3141
Baldwin2969
Dallas2963
Lowndes26912
Etowah26512
DeKalb2603
Autauga2485
Coffee2401
Sumter2369
Houston2275
Pike2231
Bullock2197
Colbert1972
Hale19210
Russell1870
Barbour1831
Marengo1796
Lauderdale1752
Calhoun1693
Cullman1631
Wilcox1587
Choctaw15310
Clarke1492
St. Clair1372
Randolph1288
Dale1250
Marion12511
Talladega1215
Pickens1215
Limestone1100
Chilton1081
Greene955
Macon944
Winston920
Jackson863
Henry842
Covington831
Crenshaw803
Escambia793
Bibb761
Washington746
Blount641
Lawrence510
Monroe492
Geneva450
Perry430
Conecuh421
Coosa401
Cherokee383
Clay282
Lamar280
Fayette160
Cleburne151

Tennessee Coronavirus Cases

Confirmed Cases: 25664

Reported Deaths: 408
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Shelby5669127
Davidson563869
Rutherford139829
Trousdale13944
Hamilton99219
Sumner95146
Lake8350
Bledsoe6131
Williamson59511
Robertson5425
Putnam5256
Tipton4673
Wilson4598
Knox4455
Out of TN4264
Bedford3024
Montgomery2873
Rhea2170
Hardeman2040
Bradley1742
Madison1732
Macon1713
Loudon1650
Unassigned1610
McMinn14614
Fayette1442
Cheatham1400
Dickson1210
Cumberland1202
Maury1081
Sevier1002
Blount933
Coffee810
Washington760
Monroe743
Wayne640
Gibson631
Sullivan602
Lauderdale601
Dyer590
Hickman590
Franklin541
Greene522
Unicoi490
Obion481
Hamblen442
Marion441
Anderson422
DeKalb390
Smith361
Lawrence350
Marshall341
White340
Hawkins342
Haywood342
Overton330
Grundy321
Cannon320
Henry320
Lincoln300
Jefferson290
Carroll281
Meigs270
Warren270
Weakley260
Perry240
Hardin222
Cocke210
Sequatchie200
Polk190
Carter191
Jackson190
Johnson190
Campbell181
Morgan180
Roane170
Humphreys161
Crockett163
Grainger150
Henderson150
McNairy150
Giles140
Stewart140
Scott130
Chester120
Fentress120
Claiborne120
Houston80
Clay80
Benton71
Decatur50
Moore50
Van Buren40
Union40
Lewis30
Pickett30
Hancock10

 

 

Community Events