Heading into the evening hours, most spots will remain dry as a ridge of high pressure and associated subsidence remain over the area. Temperatures will be slow to drop throughout the evening, but most spots will wind up around 70 degrees for low temperatures.
Our high resolution 3km BAMS model shows spotty showers and perhaps a thunderstorm as a cool front moves to our north. This front won't make it this far south, so we'll stay warm and muggy throughout the week. Notice the coverage won't be overly high, but the chance will be there for a few showers Tuesday afternoon and evening.
While not shown, a ridge of high pressure will be anchored over the southern Plains on Wednesday afternoon. While the bulk of its influence will remain off to the west, enough subsidence will overspread the area and this will help suppress rain chances Wednesday afternoon as highs creep towards the 90 degree mark as diabatic warming is enhanced.
Another frontal boundary will approach from the north by Thursday afternoon. As with most fronts this time of year, they lack the upper support to push all the way to the Gulf Coast. Most of our forecast models agree that this front will stall out in the vicinity of the Valley, and this will likely mean at least a decent chance of scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms each day Thursday into the weekend. A few storms could become strong as instability values remain high.
Isaac Williams/Liz Cosgrove