THIS EVENING: There will be isolated showers and storms forming in Mississippi and odds are they won't make it into the Valley. If they do it would be for areas west of I-65.
WEATHER SUMMARY: There is a stationary front dangling over the central U.S.. That front will continue to lift further north due to an approaching high pressure from the southeast. That high will keep the majority of showers and storms away from the Valley. However it will allow for ample amounts of moisture to be fetched in from the Gulf. This will create very hot conditions across the area. Heat index values will be pushing into the low 100s Friday through Monday.
Our next system that may cool us down a little bit will be coming in probably around Tuesday. That's depending on the timing of that system and if the high pressure breaks down enough to allow that system to enter the Valley.
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Mother Nature is cranking up the heat this morning as higher pressure is building in over the Southeast. The clockwise flow surrounding the high will send in southerly winds to the Tennessee Valley pumping in warm, moist air from the Gulf. Temperatures will be reach the mid 90's each and every day this week, with the humidity making it feel like it's into the upper 90's to lower 100's. Yikes! Although some people like the heat and humid weather, it can pose a big danger on our health. Sunburn and hyperthermia (heat stroke) can occur if your outdoors for long periods of time without staying hydrated or protecting yourself from the sun.
The big take away with the weather for this week's forecast:
WEATHER SUMMARY: Now that the stationary front is away from the Valley. We will continue to watch a large area of high pressure moving into the Valley. Temperatures will continue to climb along with the moisture content. This means during the afternoons it will feel like the upper 90s if not 100 at times. We probably won't be under a heat advisory this week but you should still take it easy outside!
Our rain chances will be very small if not zero. We could see a few pop up showers and storms.
What a soggy weekend we saw for the Fourth of July! Over 4.5 inches of rain fell at the Muscle Shoals Airport and close to 3.5 inches of rain for the Huntsville International Airport. Huntsville is finally above average in precipitation for the year while Muscle Shoals is just a quarter of an inch short. Overall, we've caught up with the rain we needed, and now we can finally enjoy the outdoors this week!
Higher pressure over the Gulf will help bring more sunshine into the forecast this week. Temperatures will climb back into the mid 90's because of this, along with very muggy conditions seeping back into the Valley. This could make the heat index feel like it's into the upper 90's to possibly 100 degrees outside! Yikes, stay hydrated and don't forget the sunscreen! Only a few stray showers will provide relief from the heat that are looking to favor Northeast Alabama this week.
DRIER WEATHER COMING: We have seen some incredibly wet weather the past couple of weeks. As of July 5th, we are close to 3 inches of rain in Huntsville and Muscle Shoals. Through the upcoming work week, we'll have a slightly drier pattern. We will still have a chance of rain for most of the next 7 days, but those chances are much lower and will come from afternoon showers and storms.
TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO AVERAGE: Temps will start climb, but not too far. Through the next 7 days, our highs will be in the lower 90's which is the average for this time of year. We can expect more sunshine as well, and only see cloud cover with near by showers or storms. Unlike the last warm up we had in June, this warm up will come with much muggier conditions. Expect heat indices in the upper 90's and even 100's.
4TH OF JULY: Through the overnight, we will see a few showers and storms will move through the valley and could put a damper on your plans to watch firework shows. Temps will be muggy in the early evening, sitting in the mid 70's. We remain under a flash flood watch until Sunday at 7 A.M.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY: Rain chances hold steady through the first of the work week. The best chances will be early Sunday into the afternoon hours. Temps will remain in the mid 80's for our highs both days. We'll have mostly cloudy skies with brief intermissions of sunshine.
DRYING OUT NEXT WEEK: Starting Tuesday, our rain chances begin to drop. If we see rain, it will be isolated in nature and very brief. During this stretch, temps will begin to climb into the upper 80's and eventually the lower 90's by next weekend.
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT: More rain is expected to move through the Valley. Not like we need anymore since just with today's rain we have seen a good swath of 3-5" of rain so far for Colbert and Franklin Counties in AL.
This is why we are also under a flash flood watch which is in effect through Saturday evening. We have seen so much rain that any added rain will make it very easy for localized flooding to happen. If your doing anything tonight or Saturday just keep that in mind if your in any flood prone areas.
4TH OF JULY: The rain chances will be highest in the morning with chances decreasing during the afternoon. Notice how they are decreasing and not zero. While most rain will be away from the Valley at this point we could see some isolated showers and maybe a storm or two at that point. So wherever you are going to enjoy the 4th keep an umbrella and plan in the back of your mind in case it does rain.
Have a happy and safe 4th everyone!
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STORM POTENTIAL TONIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING: Storms will continue to move into the Valley early Friday morning. (Past midnight). These storms will be non-severe for the most part but an isolated storm may become severe. Wind would again be the main threat. But the majority of these storms will be good rain producers.
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FRIDAY: Another round of storms are expected during the afternoon again. As of right now those storms would not be severe.
4TH OF JULY: The best chances for rain will be in the morning through about late afternoon. The good news is that most events will be dry for the fireworks! Just bring an umbrella in case there is a shower in your vicinity.
Unsettled weather continues in the forecast for the next seven days, as waves of energy from the North and West will continue to bring in showers and storms.
On Thursday, we'll have better chance of showers and storms firing up North of the Tennessee River. Between .25 to .50 of an inch of rain is likely to accumulate. Gusty winds in excess of 40 mph or greater is likely.
Heading into the Fourth of July weekend, no changes to the forecast as scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist. The only glimmer of hope we see is that showers look to tapper off in time for the fireworks display at 9 P.M. on Saturday night.
SEVERE STORM WATCH: As the line of showers and storms move across the Valley more counties will be taken out of the watch. It is set to expire at 6 p.m. but the way storms are going we may see it be completely taken down before that.
THURSDAY: Another impulse will bring more showers and storms to the Valley. Timing is not 100% but we will see a cluster of storms move through either during the morning or afternoon. Models did a perfect job Wednesday but with any complex forecasts may need to be tweaked.
4TH OF JULY: We will see some very early morning showers and storms but during the afternoon and evening we should be mainly dry. Only an isolated shower or storm would be possible during the evening events.