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Tennessee Valley Weather Blog

Friday 11/28/2014
Warm Weekend But Light Showers Next Week

SATURDAY: Winds will become stronger out of the south gusting to 15 mph at times. This will help push our temperatures to 60 during the afternoon. A great day for shopping or doing anything outdoors.

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IRON BOWL: Bumped up temperatures a little due temperatures becoming hotter during the day with less cloud cover. Temperatures at kickoff will be in the mid 50s and at the game only in the upper 40s. Tailgating will be ideal with highs on Saturday in Tuscaloosa in the mid 60s.

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SUNDAY: Fair warm for this time of the year with highs in the mid 60s. Moisture will move close enough to the Valley to push in a shower or two. 99.8% of the Valley will be dry today.

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MONDAY: The front moves through slowly and will cause some light scattered showers. Depending on the speed of the front chances for rain may be pushed to Wednesday.

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Thursday 11/27/2014
Freezing Temperatures But Then A Return To The 60s!

TONIGHT: The stubborn cloud cover will be slow to move out but we will be pretty cold nonetheless. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 20s. Bundle up if your heading out tonight to shop!

FRIDAY: We will be generally sunny with highs around 50. Winds will shift out of the south and this will begin our warm up as we go into the weekend. A great shopping day! 1234

IRON BOWL: Still looks like the weather will be great for the game. Kickoff temperatures will be in the mid 50s. By the end of the game they will only be in the upper 40s. 12

NEXT WEEK: As high pressure moves in this weekend it will settle just to our east. This will force warmer air into the Valley. Temperatures will be staying in the 60s for at least 6/7 days. It will also keep the high rain chances away. It looks like only Monday we could see a few showers pass through.

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Wednesday 11/26/2014
Some Showers Tonight But A Dry & Cool Thanksgiving

THIS EVENING/TONIGHT: A few showers will push through the Valley this evening and tonight. The question will be will if the cold air can get close enough to the surface with enough moisture in place. IF that happens...Then we may squeeze out some flurries in Franklin County in Tennessee. The odds of that are still very low so I'm still going with just a few showers in the forecast. Most models expect for one are showing all liquid precipitation. It's just been the case of just warm enough near the surface to change any snow back to rain before reaching the ground.

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THANKSGIVING: Due to the disturbance passing we will see some decent cloud cover early Thanksgiving morning. The Turkey Trot looks to be a chilly one but if you wear an extra layer you should be good. As we go throughout the day we will see a gradual decrease in cloud cover. Highs will only be in the mid 40s.

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IRON BOWL: We will be warming up this Saturday and just in time for the big game. Enjoy!

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THANKSGIVING TRAVEL FORECAST

WEDNESDAY: If you're travelling anywhere in the Tennessee Valley, the weather will be good for driving today. We'll begin to see more cloud cover and a few stray showers during the afternoon time. It's all due in part to a weak disturbance that will sweep across the Tennessee throughout the afternoon and overnight hours. With winds driving from the Northwest, temperatures during the overnight hours will fall into the mid 30's where possibly flurries could fall over the highest elevations over Southern Tennessee and Northeast Alabama.WarningLegendfallcolors

THANKSGIVING DAY: Northwesterly winds will continue to keep things cool for Thanksgiving day with highs only reaching into the mid 40's with mostly cloudy skies.

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BLACK FRIDAY & THIS WEEKEND: Temperatures will warm up as we head into the upcoming weekend as Southerly winds will move in ahead of an approaching storm system that will bring in a few stray showers for Sunday and Monday.

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Tuesday 11/25/2014
Dry For Travel Day Wednesday & Thanksgiving

WEDNESDAY: If your traveling anywhere in the Tennessee Valley the weather will be good for driving. We will begin to see more cloud cover return during the afternoon. We could see some light showers developing during the evening. As this system moves just north of the Valley it will provide the best chances for any rain at all for southern Tennessee and extreme northern Alabama. Chances for any flurries get as close to zero as you can get.

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THANKSGIVING: It will be a chilly day with highs in the mid 40s. But it will also be another dry day so if you have any plans for playing some football outdoors just bundle up and you'll be okay.

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IRON BOWL: The weather still looks great for the game. Temperatures will be in the mid 50s at kickoff but will end in the upper 40s.

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COOLING DOWN AS WE GET TO THANKSGIVING

TUESDAY: We'll see a few passing clouds from time to time due to our next nor'easter that will be building up over the Gulf Coast today. Otherwise, temperatures will be about 10 degrees cooler than Monday, into the mid 50's today with light winds from the Northwest.

WEDNESDAY & THANKSGIVING: Northwesterly winds will bring about our next storm system that will pass over the Tennessee Valley late Wednesday afternoon. Expect breezy conditions with possible flurries flying over Southern Tennessee Throughout the overnight hours. Otherwise, these Northwesterly winds will cool temperatures down into the mid 40's for Thanksgiving Day with partly sunny skies.

BLACK FRIDAY & WEEKEND SHOPPING: Winds will move back in from the South ahead of an approaching storm system that will boost temperatures back up into the mid 60's and bring in possible rain showers for Sunday.

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Monday 11/24/2014
Some Showers But A Great Thanksgiving

TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY: We will be mostly sunny and dry both of those days. We will be clipped by a disturbance Wednesday night.

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THANKSGIVING: There may be some lingering clouds from the disturbance early in the morning but overall the day looks mostly sunny with highs in the upper 40s.

FRIDAY: For all of your early shoppers the weather will be cool and dry with highs around 50.

IRON BOWL: Playing in Tuscaloosa with a kickoff at 6:45 p.m. the conditions will be partly cloudy and around 50 degrees with light winds.

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Temperatures Dropping Until Thanksgiving

MONDAY: A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GILES, LAWRENCE, AND WAYNE COUNTY TN, UNTIL 6 P.M. TONIGHT WHERE WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 40-45 MPH.A second cold front will pass through the Tennessee Valley early this morning, causing us to deal with gusty winds, a few passing clouds, and possibly a stray shower in Southern Tennessee to start our day. By this afternoon, winds will move in from the Northwest, sending in a cooler air flow to knock temperatures from the mid 60's this morning down to the mid to upper 50's.03212ABE_069A5A09_cam2

TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY: Higher pressure will move in from the Northwest, sending in cooler, but drier air in for the midweek's forecast. Temperatures will fall into the mid 50's to upper 40's with plenty of sunshine. By Wednesday night, a weak cold front will pass through the area, and with just a bit of moisture, we could pick up on a few flurries in Southern Tennessee a temperatures drop to the freezing mark.WarningLegend

THANKSGIVING & BLACK FRIDAY: After the weak cold front passes Thursday morning, expect plenty of sunshine but cooler conditions. Highs will reach into the mid 40's. On Friday, winds will move back in from the South, allowing Friday morning for Black Friday shopping to be into the mid to upper 30'sand pushing into the mid 50's for the afternoon.

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NORTHEAST: A nor'easter will sweep up the eastern seaboard, looking to dump a rain/snow mix into Philadelphia and New York City Wednesday Night into Thursday morning, which could cause delays in airport travel. Boston, Hartford, and Providence could pick up on 4 to 8 inches of snow as well.

MIDWEST: For the Chicago Metro area, a weak disturbance will move through the windy city, looking to bring in blustery winds and possibly lake effect snow.

REST OF SOUTHEAST: The Southeast should stay fairly dry as higher pressure will build in after a weak cold front that will move through the area Wednesday night. Travel forecast looks good for the roads and the sky.

 

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Sunday 11/23/2014
More problems in Buffalo, possible messy travel time before the Thanksgiving

We’ve all heard now about the huge lake effect snowfall event that took place in buffalo last week. The National Weather Service has been watching closely with concerns of flooding due to warming temperatures, snow melt, and rain fall. However, a more unpredictable problem has reared its ugly head. ICE JAM!

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An Ice jam is when ice on a river “dams up” a river. They usually occur in the spring time, but can also occur in early winter months do to big cold spells like the one that just hit Buffalo. As chunks of ice float down river, they can become stuck and more ice piling up on top of it as ice flows down the river. The Cazenovia Creek in southern Buffalo was expected to crest around 10.8ft (minor flood stage) Monday evening; however, an ice jam has occurred and in just a few hours time gone from less than 5 ft, to 10.9 ft. As a result, the NWS has issued flood warnings for surrounding areas.

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Highs Monday for Buffalo are expected to be in the upper 50’s, so snow will continue to melt through the day on Monday. After that, the forecast calls for a chance of even more snow showers all the way through next Sunday.

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More locally, we don’t have to worry about snow or ice jams anytime soon. The weather will remain pleasant for much of the week. A system is expected to develop off towards our south and east that could cause some travel troubles for the east coast. Models indicate 10+ inches could fall across the mid Atlantic states all the way up into New England by Thanksgiving Day.

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Friday 11/21/2014
Football Forecast, Rain Chances & A Look At Thanksgiving

TONIGHT: Despite some high clouds pushing through it will be a very nice evening. Friday night football looks like it will be great weather. Kickoff temperatures will be in the low 50s.

SATURDAY: This will still be a very nice day even with the limited sunshine at times. Highs will be in the mid 60s. There still could be some showers south of Huntsville due to the warm front approaching the Valley. College games look okay but don't be surprised if you see a few light sprinkles for the Auburn game. Alabama is playing early enough so that they will be dry.

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SUNDAY: We have been tracking this system for a few days now. Nothing really has changed much except some local rain amounts. Generally we should see 0.5" to 1.0" of rain. Locally some locations could see 2"+ but that is if a few storms end up forming. The severe threat will be towards the Gulf but don't count out strong winds at times (40-50 mph).  There will be a lot of wind energy so it will look like the sky is hauling during the afternoon. Because of a strong cap in place there is very limited instability. The timing of the system will be key but I don't expect much out of this round.

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THANKSGIVING: This is where things could get interesting...I say that because long range models are hinting at the possibility of at least some snow showers for southern Tennessee and parts of north Alabama. This would be a system clipping the Valley again. The timing would be Wednesday night through midday Thursday. It wouldn't be wise to put that into the forecast right now but it is worth noting.

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