Tennessee Valley Weather Blog

Friday 09/19/2014
Some Rain Sunday Then Cool & Dry

THIS EVENING: Friday night football games should all be good unless your unlucky enough to get one of the isolated showers or storms overhead.

SUNDAY: A cold front will arrive late in the afternoon and some showers along with a few storms will be possible.

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MONDAY: After the front it will be cooler and much drier. Dew points by Monday afternoon will have dropped into the low 50s.

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Thursday 09/18/2014
Rain Chances Before A Cold Front

THIS EVENING: Shower and storms are possible mainly areas west of 65. They shouldn't last past 10 p.m.

FRIDAY: High pressure will be stacked to our NE but this will also provide easterly flow. This won't just be at the surface but also up to about 1,600 meters high. Enough moisture may be pushed in that we could see some isolated showers in NE/E Alabama.

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SUNDAY: A cold front will arrive late in the afternoon and some showers along with a few storms will be possible.

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MONDAY: After the front it will be cooler and much drier. Dew points by Monday afternoon will have dropped into the low 50s.

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Wednesday 09/17/2014
Dying Storms But Looking Good This Weekend

TONIGHT: There is a dying mesoscale convective system (MCS) in Missouri and Arkansas.  We saw some of the cloud cover created by those storms here in the Tennessee Valley this afternoon. What we could also see tonight is some of the remnant moisture. This is one of our Hi-Res models and it's showing some stray showers west of 65 by early tomorrow morning. Confidence is low that this will occur but wouldn't be surprised if we get a few sprinkles.

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FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: The weather still looks great! Highs will be in the mid 80s with dew points in the upper 50s/low 60s. Friday night football and any games on Saturday look ideal.

SUNDAY NIGHT & MONDAY: A weak cold front will move through and this may cause a few isolated showers.

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Monday 09/15/2014
Cold Front Then Nice Weather

TUESDAY: A weak cold front will pass through the Tennessee Valley and we could see some isolated showers and storms. The problem will be the lack of sufficient moisture. The PW or Precipitable Water won't be going over 1.0 which will make it a little tougher for showers and storms to form.

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LONG TERM: An upper level ridge will move in slowly this week. That means we will see plenty of sinking motion from the mid and upper levels. There will be a decent subsidence inversion so even clouds will be tough to form let along showers and storms. The ridge begins to move away and break down as we go through the weekend.

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Thursday 09/11/2014
Stormy Forecast But A Nice Weekend

THIS EVENING/TONIGHT: The storm chances will be small but we could see some widely scattered showers and storms. The cold front moves closer to the Tennessee Valley tonight but more towards dawn. As the front approaches we could see widely scattered showers.

FRIDAY: The front has already moved through but we could see storm chances through mid/late-afternoon. I still think that most of the Friday night football games will be okay but just in case take an umbrella.

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THIS WEEKEND: There are no major changes to the forecast except a slight increase in high temperatures and overnight lows. Models are in decent agreement that there will be slightly higher dew points and warmer air in place for Saturday and Sunday.

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STAYING COOL: Temperatures will be staying below normal through next Tuesday.

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Wednesday 09/10/2014
Rain Chances And Cooler Air

THURSDAY: The cold front will move into the Tennessee Valley during the afternoon hours. This is also when our chances for rain will begin. Storms and showers will be scattered in nature.

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FRIDAY: The speed of the front will slow down but it will move just to the south of the viewing area. The morning hours should be fairly dry but once we get closer to lunch time the chances will increase but the showers should only last through the mid-afternoon hours.

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SATURDAY: The initial cold front will move even further south and eventually stall out and become a stationary front. What will follow will be a reinforcing front that will bring in the drier and cooler air.

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Tuesday 09/09/2014
Coldest Air Since May On The Way

COLD FRONT: A cold front is on the way to the Tennessee Valley. It should arrive now Thursday evening into Friday morning. Scattered showers and storms are possible Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon. The speed of the front has been tough to get a handle on and also where it will stop. That will also play an important part to Saturday's forecast.

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WEEKEND TEMPERATURES: I think it's safe to say that we will be experiencing the coldest air since May. The last time we hit the 70s in Huntsville that was not rain induced was May 19 where we hit 79 degrees. Daily highs this weekend will be in the upper 70s and low 80s.

Chief Meteorologist Chris Smith

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Monday 09/08/2014
From Warm And Humid To Cool And Dry

TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY: A stationary front will linger just to our south on Tuesday but this shouldn't cause that many showers. The only chances for rain Tuesday would be in DeKalb, Marshall and Cullman Counties. Wednesday the chances increase a little more as the stationary front moves through the Tennessee Valley.

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THURSDAY & FRIDAY: A strong cold front backed by a large area of high pressure will turn their direction to the Tennessee Valley Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. Along the front we will see showers and a few storms. It looks like there may be enough post frontal forcing to get a few more showers through noon on Friday.

WEEKEND: With a strong area of high pressure in place and a good northwest flow. Temperatures will struggle to get past 80 in many places. Dew points will be in the 40s and 50s so overnight lows will be dropping into the upper 50s and low 60s. If you haven't made any plans to do anything outside this weekend. Start making them! It will be a wonderful weekend for football, hiking or anything outdoors.

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Chief Meteorologist Chris Smith

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Friday 09/05/2014
Storms This Weekend But Cooler Weather On The Way

THIS EVENING: Storms will end early this evening. For the Friday night football games just bring an umbrella just in case.

COLD FRONT SATURDAY: A cold front will move through Saturday and this will cause some scattered showers and storms. Not everyone will see the storms but the timing will be early afternoon through the evening.

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LATE NEXT WEEK: Things are looking good for a change in our weather pattern. A strong cold front will move through Thursday but a large area of high pressure will be soon to follow. Temperatures for highs will be in the low to mid 80s but dew points will drop into the 50s. That will make it feel wonderful for next weekend.

SCREENCAP

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Thursday 09/04/2014
Storm Chances Through The Weekend

TONIGHT: We will be under partly cloudy skies but the mountains and valleys could see some patchy fog by morning.

FRIDAY: It will be our last day where we will see some minor forcing during the afternoon and evening hours. This will cause a few showers and storms across the Tennessee Valley. It shouldn't be much of a bother for any Friday night football games.

SATURDAY: A cold front will slide through and this will cause showers and storms during the afternoon and evening hours. 

PATTERN CHANGE: It looks like by the end of next week we will see a stronger cold front come through. The best news about this won't be the storms we get with it but the aftermath. Cooler and drier weather should return next weekend.

Chief Meteorologist Chris Smith

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