Let's talk about the set-up...temperatures will be above average both Thursday and Friday. We'll see plenty of sunshine and a strong south wind Friday, so with a warm air mass packing plenty of moisture in place, the stage will be set for storms. The next factor is going to be what actually sets off those storms...a cold front to our west will enter Mississippi during the day Saturday.
Winds will be strong with this system, even more so as it passes, so we are honing in on gusty, straight-line winds as the main risk. However, heavy rain is going to accompany these storms as well, so we will have to watch the flooding threat, too.
At this point, it's not out of the question for a few storms to form before the main line early Saturday morning. These storms may also be strong to severe. Still, the largest area of concern remains the likelihood of a line of strong storms moving through Saturday from late morning through the evening. With this line, expect gusts exceeding 60 mph and the potential for isolated, brief tornadoes.
With Saturday and Sunday still four and five says out, respectively, this forecast should become much clearer in the coming days. All the details outlined above are about as specific as we can get at this point, given the timing discrepancies in the forecast data.
Be sure to stay with the WAAY 31 Severe Storm Tracking Center for the latest.